Select the Items That Can Result in Higher Interest Earned.

Affiliate four. Labor and Financial Markets

4.2 Demand and Supply in Financial Markets

Learning Objectives

By the terminate of this section, you will be able to:

  • Identify the demanders and suppliers in a fiscal market.
  • Explain how interest rates can touch supply and demand
  • Analyze the economic effects of U.S. debt in terms of domestic fiscal markets
  • Explain the role of price ceilings and usury laws in the U.South.

U.s.a.' households, institutions, and domestic businesses saved almost $one.9 trillion in 2013. Where did that savings become and what was it used for? Some of the savings ended up in banks, which in plow loaned the money to individuals or businesses that wanted to infringe money. Some was invested in individual companies or loaned to government agencies that wanted to borrow money to raise funds for purposes like building roads or mass transit. Some firms reinvested their savings in their ain businesses.

In this department, we will decide how the demand and supply model links those who wish to supply financial capital (i.east., savings) with those who need fiscal capital (i.e., borrowing). Those who save money (or brand financial investments, which is the same affair), whether individuals or businesses, are on the supply side of the financial market place. Those who borrow money are on the demand side of the financial market. For a more than detailed treatment of the different kinds of financial investments like banking company accounts, stocks and bonds, encounter the Financial Markets chapter.

Who Demands and Who Supplies in Financial Markets?

In whatsoever market, the toll is what suppliers receive and what demanders pay. In financial markets, those who supply financial capital through saving expect to receive a rate of render, while those who demand fiscal upper-case letter by receiving funds expect to pay a rate of return. This rate of render can come in a variety of forms, depending on the blazon of investment.

The simplest instance of a rate of return is the interest rate. For case, when you supply money into a savings account at a banking company, you receive interest on your deposit. The involvement paid to you as a percent of your deposits is the involvement charge per unit. Similarly, if you need a loan to purchase a machine or a calculator, you will demand to pay involvement on the money yous infringe.

Let's consider the marketplace for borrowing money with credit cards. In 2014, almost 200 million Americans were cardholders. Credit cards allow you to borrow money from the card's issuer, and pay back the borrowed amount plus interest, though most allow you a period of time in which you lot tin repay the loan without paying interest. A typical credit card involvement rate ranges from 12% to eighteen% per year. In 2014, Americans had about $793 billion outstanding in credit menu debts. Near half of U.S. families with credit cards written report that they well-nigh always pay the full residue on time, only one-quarter of U.S. families with credit cards say that they "inappreciably ever" pay off the card in full. In fact, in 2014, 56% of consumers carried an unpaid residual in the terminal 12 months. Permit's say that, on boilerplate, the annual involvement rate for credit card borrowing is 15% per year. So, Americans pay tens of billions of dollars every yr in involvement on their credit cards—plus basic fees for the credit card or fees for late payments.

Effigy i illustrates demand and supply in the financial market for credit cards. The horizontal axis of the fiscal market place shows the quantity of money that is loaned or borrowed in this market place. The vertical or price centrality shows the rate of return, which in the case of credit bill of fare borrowing tin be measured with an interest rate. Table five shows the quantity of financial capital that consumers demand at various interest rates and the quantity that credit carte firms (oftentimes banks) are willing to supply.

The graph shows how a price set below equilibrium causes a shortage of credit and how one set above the equilibrium creates a surplus of credit
Effigy 1. Demand and Supply for Borrowing Coin with Credit Cards. In this market for credit card borrowing, the demand bend (D) for borrowing financial capital intersects the supply bend (S) for lending financial uppercase at equilibrium €. At the equilibrium, the interest rate (the "toll" in this market) is 15% and the quantity of financial capital being loaned and borrowed is $600 billion. The equilibrium toll is where the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied are equal. At an above-equilibrium interest rate like 21%, the quantity of financial capital supplied would increase to $750 billion, but the quantity demanded would decrease to $480 billion. At a beneath-equilibrium interest charge per unit similar 13%, the quantity of financial capital demanded would increase to $700 billion, but the quantity of financial capital letter supplied would decrease to $510 billion.
Interest Rate (%) Quantity of Fiscal Capital letter Demanded (Borrowing) ($ billions) Quantity of Financial Capital Supplied (Lending) ($ billions)
eleven $800 $420
13 $700 $510
15 $600 $600
17 $550 $660
19 $500 $720
21 $480 $750
Table 5. Demand and Supply for Borrowing Money with Credit Cards

The laws of demand and supply continue to use in the financial markets. According to the law of demand, a higher rate of render (that is, a higher price) volition decrease the quantity demanded. As the interest rate rises, consumers volition reduce the quantity that they borrow. Co-ordinate to the law of supply, a higher price increases the quantity supplied. Consequently, as the interest rate paid on credit carte du jour borrowing rises, more than firms will be eager to issue credit cards and to encourage customers to use them. Conversely, if the interest rate on credit cards falls, the quantity of fiscal capital supplied in the credit carte du jour market will decrease and the quantity demanded will fall.

Equilibrium in Financial Markets

In the financial market for credit cards shown in Figure 1, the supply curve (S) and the demand curve (D) cantankerous at the equilibrium point (Due east). The equilibrium occurs at an interest rate of 15%, where the quantity of funds demanded and the quantity supplied are equal at an equilibrium quantity of $600 billion.

If the interest rate (call up, this measures the "toll" in the financial market) is in a higher place the equilibrium level, then an excess supply, or a surplus, of fiscal upper-case letter volition arise in this market. For example, at an interest rate of 21%, the quantity of funds supplied increases to $750 billion, while the quantity demanded decreases to $480 billion. At this in a higher place-equilibrium interest rate, firms are eager to supply loans to credit card borrowers, simply relatively few people or businesses wish to infringe. As a issue, some credit menu firms will lower the interest rates (or other fees) they accuse to attract more business. This strategy volition push the interest charge per unit down toward the equilibrium level.

If the interest rate is below the equilibrium, then backlog demand or a shortage of funds occurs in this marketplace. At an interest rate of xiii%, the quantity of funds credit card borrowers need increases to $700 billion; only the quantity credit card firms are willing to supply is merely $510 billion. In this situation, credit card firms volition perceive that they are overloaded with eager borrowers and conclude that they take an opportunity to enhance interest rates or fees. The interest charge per unit will face economic pressures to pitter-patter upwardly toward the equilibrium level.

Shifts in Demand and Supply in Financial Markets

Those who supply financial upper-case letter face two broad decisions: how much to save, and how to divide up their savings among different forms of fiscal investments. We will discuss each of these in turn.

Participants in financial markets must determine when they adopt to eat goods: at present or in the future. Economists call this intertemporal decision making because it involves decisions across time. Unlike a decision about what to purchase from the grocery store, decisions well-nigh investment or saving are made across a period of fourth dimension, sometimes a long period.

Most workers save for retirement because their income in the present is greater than their needs, while the opposite will exist truthful once they retire. So they save today and supply financial markets. If their income increases, they save more. If their perceived situation in the future changes, they modify the amount of their saving. For example, in that location is some evidence that Social Security, the program that workers pay into in order to qualify for authorities checks after retirement, has tended to reduce the quantity of financial capital that workers salvage. If this is truthful, Social Security has shifted the supply of fiscal capital at whatever interest charge per unit to the left.

By contrast, many college students need money today when their income is depression (or nonexistent) to pay their higher expenses. As a consequence, they infringe today and demand from financial markets. Once they graduate and become employed, they volition pay back the loans. Individuals infringe money to purchase homes or cars. A business organization seeks financial investment so that it has the funds to build a factory or invest in a research and development project that volition not pay off for v years, x years, or fifty-fifty more than. So when consumers and businesses accept greater confidence that they volition be able to repay in the time to come, the quantity demanded of financial capital at any given interest charge per unit will shift to the right.

For example, in the applied science smash of the late 1990s, many businesses became extremely confident that investments in new technology would take a high rate of render, and their demand for fiscal uppercase shifted to the correct. Conversely, during the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, their demand for fiscal capital at any given interest rate shifted to the left.

To this point, we have been looking at saving in full. Now allow us consider what affects saving in different types of financial investments. In deciding between different forms of financial investments, suppliers of fiscal capital letter volition have to consider the rates of return and the risks involved. Rate of render is a positive attribute of investments, but risk is a negative. If Investment A becomes more than risky, or the return diminishes, then savers will shift their funds to Investment B—and the supply curve of fiscal capital for Investment A will shift dorsum to the left while the supply curve of capital for Investment B shifts to the correct.

The Usa as a Global Borrower

In the global economy, trillions of dollars of fiscal investment cross national borders every yr. In the early 2000s, financial investors from foreign countries were investing several hundred billion dollars per twelvemonth more in the U.S. economic system than U.S. financial investors were investing away. The following Work It Out deals with one of the macroeconomic concerns for the U.S. economic system in recent years.

The Effect of Growing U.S. Debt

Imagine that the U.Southward. economy became viewed as a less desirable place for strange investors to put their money because of fears most the growth of the U.S. public debt. Using the four-step process for analyzing how changes in supply and demand affect equilibrium outcomes, how would increased U.S. public debt affect the equilibrium price and quantity for capital letter in U.S. financial markets?

Step 1. Draw a diagram showing need and supply for fiscal capital that represents the original scenario in which strange investors are pouring money into the U.S. economy. Figure ii shows a demand curve, D, and a supply bend, South, where the supply of capital includes the funds arriving from foreign investors. The original equilibrium E0 occurs at interest rate R0 and quantity of fiscal investment Q0.

The graph shows the supply and demand for financial capital that includes the foreign sector.
Figure 2. The Usa as a Global Borrower Before U.Southward. Debt Uncertainty. The graph shows the demand for fiscal capital from and supply of financial capital letter into the U.S. financial markets past the foreign sector before the increase in incertitude regarding U.Southward. public debt. The original equilibrium (Due east0) occurs at an equilibrium charge per unit of render (R0) and the equilibrium quantity is at Q0.

Pace ii. Will the diminished confidence in the U.Due south. economy as a place to invest affect demand or supply of financial majuscule? Yeah, it will impact supply. Many foreign investors await to the U.S. financial markets to store their money in safe fiscal vehicles with low risk and stable returns. Every bit the U.S. debt increases, debt servicing volition increment—that is, more current income will be used to pay the interest rate on past debt. Increasing U.S. debt besides means that businesses may have to pay higher interest rates to infringe money, because business is now competing with the government for financial resources.

Step iii. Volition supply increase or decrease? When the enthusiasm of foreign investors' for investing their money in the U.S. economy diminishes, the supply of fiscal capital shifts to the left. Figure 3 shows the supply curve shift from S0 to Due southone.

The graph shows the supply and demand for financial capital that includes the foreign sector.
Figure three. The Us every bit a Global Borrower Before and Afterward U.South. Debt Dubiousness. The graph shows the need for fiscal capital and supply of financial capital into the U.Southward. fiscal markets by the foreign sector before and afterwards the increase in doubtfulness regarding U.S. public debt. The original equilibrium (E0) occurs at an equilibrium rate of return (R0) and the equilibrium quantity is at Q0.

Pace four. Thus, strange investors' diminished enthusiasm leads to a new equilibrium, E1, which occurs at the higher interest rate, R1, and the lower quantity of fiscal investment, Q1.

The economy has experienced an enormous inflow of foreign capital. According to the U.Southward. Agency of Economic Analysis, by the 3rd quarter of 2014, U.S. investors had accumulated $24.6 trillion of foreign assets, but foreign investors endemic a full of $30.8 trillion of U.S. avails. If foreign investors were to pull their coin out of the U.S. economy and invest elsewhere in the world, the event could be a significantly lower quantity of financial investment in the The states, bachelor only at a college involvement rate. This reduced inflow of foreign financial investment could impose hardship on U.S. consumers and firms interested in borrowing.

In a modern, developed economy, financial capital often moves invisibly through electronic transfers between one banking company business relationship and another. Notwithstanding these flows of funds can exist analyzed with the same tools of demand and supply as markets for goods or labor.

Cost Ceilings in Fiscal Markets: Usury Laws

As we noted earlier, about 200 million Americans own credit cards, and their interest payments and fees total tens of billions of dollars each year. It is picayune wonder that political pressures sometimes ascend for setting limits on the interest rates or fees that credit card companies charge. The firms that issue credit cards, including banks, oil companies, phone companies, and retail stores, respond that the higher interest rates are necessary to encompass the losses created past those who infringe on their credit cards and who do not repay on time or at all. These companies also signal out that cardholders can avoid paying interest if they pay their bills on fourth dimension.

Consider the credit carte market as illustrated in Effigy iv. In this financial market, the vertical centrality shows the interest rate (which is the cost in the fiscal market). Demanders in the credit menu market place are households and businesses; suppliers are the companies that issue credit cards. This effigy does not apply specific numbers, which would be hypothetical in any case, but instead focuses on the underlying economic relationships. Imagine a law imposes a cost ceiling that holds the interest rate charged on credit cards at the rate Rc, which lies below the interest rate R0 that would otherwise have prevailed in the market. The price ceiling is shown by the horizontal dashed line in Figure 4. The need and supply model predicts that at the lower price ceiling involvement charge per unit, the quantity demanded of credit card debt volition increase from its original level of Q0 to Qd; however, the quantity supplied of credit bill of fare debt will decrease from the original Q0 to Qs. At the price ceiling (Rc), quantity demanded will exceed quantity supplied. Consequently, a number of people who want to take credit cards and are willing to pay the prevailing interest rate will detect that companies are unwilling to outcome cards to them. The result will be a credit shortage.

The graph shows the results of an interest rate that is set at the price ceiling, both beneath the equilibrium interest rate
Figure four. Credit Card Involvement Rates: Another Price Ceiling Example. The original intersection of demand D and supply Southward occurs at equilibrium Eastward0. All the same, a cost ceiling is set at the interest rate Rc, below the equilibrium involvement charge per unit R0, and so the interest rate cannot adjust upwardly to the equilibrium. At the price ceiling, the quantity demanded, Qd, exceeds the quantity supplied, Qs. There is excess need, too called a shortage.

Many states exercise take usury laws, which impose an upper limit on the interest rate that lenders tin can charge. Nonetheless, in many cases these upper limits are well higher up the marketplace involvement rate. For example, if the interest charge per unit is not allowed to rise above 30% per year, information technology can still fluctuate beneath that level according to market forces. A price ceiling that is set at a relatively loftier level is nonbinding, and information technology will accept no practical effect unless the equilibrium cost soars high plenty to exceed the price ceiling.

Cardinal Concepts and Summary

In the need and supply analysis of fiscal markets, the "price" is the charge per unit of render or the involvement rate received. The quantity is measured past the money that flows from those who supply financial capital to those who demand it.

Two factors can shift the supply of financial capital to a certain investment: if people want to alter their existing levels of consumption, and if the riskiness or return on i investment changes relative to other investments. Factors that can shift need for capital include business organisation conviction and consumer confidence in the future—since fiscal investments received in the present are typically repaid in the time to come.

Self-Check Questions

  1. In the financial marketplace, what causes a movement along the demand curve? What causes a shift in the demand bend?
  2. In the financial market, what causes a move forth the supply curve? What causes a shift in the supply bend?
  3. If a usury police limits interest rates to no more than 35%, what would the likely impact be on the amount of loans made and interest rates paid?
  4. Which of the following changes in the fiscal market will pb to a decline in interest rates:
    1. a rise in demand
    2. a fall in demand
    3. a ascension in supply
    4. a fall in supply
  5. Which of the post-obit changes in the fiscal market will pb to an increase in the quantity of loans fabricated and received:
    1. a ascension in need
    2. a fall in demand
    3. a rise in supply
    4. a fall in supply

Review Questions

  1. How is equilibrium defined in financial markets?
  2. What would be a sign of a shortage in financial markets?
  3. Would usury laws help or hinder resolution of a shortage in financial markets?

Disquisitional Thinking Questions

  1. Suppose the U.Due south. economic system began to grow more than rapidly than other countries in the world. What would be the likely touch on on U.S. financial markets equally part of the global economic system?
  2. If the government imposed a federal interest charge per unit ceiling of 20% on all loans, who would gain and who would lose?

Issues

  1. Predict how each of the following economic changes will affect the equilibrium cost and quantity in the financial market for home loans. Sketch a need and supply diagram to back up your answers.
    1. The number of people at the most common ages for dwelling-ownership increases.
    2. People gain conviction that the economy is growing and that their jobs are secure.
    3. Banks that take made dwelling loans find that a larger number of people than they expected are not repaying those loans.
    4. Because of a threat of a war, people get uncertain about their economic future.
    5. The overall level of saving in the economic system diminishes.
    6. The federal government changes its bank regulations in a way that makes it cheaper and easier for banks to make abode loans.
  2. Table half-dozen shows the amount of savings and borrowing in a market for loans to buy homes, measured in millions of dollars, at various interest rates. What is the equilibrium interest rate and quantity in the capital financial market? How can you tell? Now, imagine that because of a shift in the perceptions of foreign investors, the supply curve shifts so that there volition be $10 one thousand thousand less supplied at every interest charge per unit. Calculate the new equilibrium interest charge per unit and quantity, and explain why the direction of the interest charge per unit shift makes intuitive sense.
    Interest Charge per unit Qs Qd
    five% 130 170
    6% 135 150
    7% 140 140
    8% 145 135
    ix% 150 125
    10% 155 110
    Table vi. Loans to Purchase Homes at Various Interest Rates

References

CreditCards.com. 2013. http://www.creditcards.com/credit-card-news/credit-bill of fare-industry-facts-personal-debt-statistics-1276.php.

Glossary

involvement charge per unit
the "price" of borrowing in the financial market; a charge per unit of return on an investment
usury laws
laws that impose an upper limit on the interest charge per unit that lenders can charge

Solutions

Answers to Self-Check Questions

  1. Changes in the interest rate (i.e., the toll of financial capital letter) cause a movement along the demand curve. A change in anything else (non-price variable) that affects demand for fiscal majuscule (e.g., changes in confidence nearly the futurity, changes in needs for borrowing) would shift the demand curve.
  2. Changes in the interest charge per unit (i.e., the cost of financial capital) cause a movement along the supply curve. A change in anything else that affects the supply of fiscal capital (a non-toll variable) such as income or future needs would shift the supply bend.
  3. If market involvement rates stay in their normal range, an interest rate limit of 35% would not be bounden. If the equilibrium involvement charge per unit rose above 35%, the interest rate would be capped at that rate, and the quantity of loans would be lower than the equilibrium quantity, causing a shortage of loans.
  4. b and c will pb to a fall in interest rates. At a lower demand, lenders will not be able to charge as much, and with more available lenders, competition for borrowers will bulldoze rates down.
  5. a and c will increase the quantity of loans. More than people who desire to borrow will result in more than loans being given, as volition more than people who want to lend.

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Source: https://opentextbc.ca/principlesofeconomics/chapter/4-2-demand-and-supply-in-financial-markets/

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